Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.372165 0.483612 0.604902 0.744871 0.900276 1.066078 1.254970
2025-08-10 0.215518 0.360122 0.535654 0.755154 1.014671 1.305541 1.650616
2025-08-17 0.116523 0.258298 0.450291 0.707344 1.026077 1.395754 1.846007
2025-08-24 0.053035 0.178398 0.373555 0.654671 1.019613 1.456100 1.999797
2025-08-31 0.022911 0.132757 0.331206 0.636170 1.046910 1.549694 2.186229
2025-09-07 0.009101 0.106752 0.311498 0.643560 1.103608 1.676392 2.409966
2025-09-14 0.001485 0.080934 0.285119 0.636832 1.138563 1.773881 2.596694
2025-09-21 NaN 0.057031 0.254575 0.619226 1.155735 1.846802 2.751762
2025-09-28 NaN 0.052275 0.260925 0.657939 1.249533 2.016774 3.025850
2025-10-05 NaN 0.050576 0.273361 0.706162 1.356537 2.203782 3.321212
2025-10-12 NaN 0.046300 0.278588 0.742152 1.446179 2.368408 3.588957
2025-10-19 NaN 0.048033 0.298666 0.802853 1.570941 2.578694 3.913755
2025-10-26 NaN 0.044352 0.305772 0.844660 1.673229 2.765501 4.216790
2025-11-02 NaN 0.034137 0.292541 0.851455 1.725911 2.888846 4.442368
2025-11-09 NaN 0.017506 0.249351 0.801570 1.693720 2.898912 4.524147
2025-11-16 NaN 0.006046 0.206045 0.744953 1.647739 2.888105 4.577521
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001917 0.184231 0.725216 1.654556 2.945886 4.716201
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000630 0.176844 0.733112 1.703017 3.059498 4.926033
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000002 0.163013 0.725909 1.727229 3.139695 5.092679
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.144952 0.707035 1.731857 3.192363 5.223325
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.153671 0.748513 1.832656 3.377468 5.525483
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.166756 0.800073 1.949705 3.585128 5.857056
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.174082 0.838484 2.045796 3.764008 6.151511